Granadavs
Deportivo de La Coruña W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Granada · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Granada 0-3 Deportivo de La Coruña W
Original prediction
Granada
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.5% | 40.5% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.6% | 27.7% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 27.9% | 31.9% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Granada
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Granada has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40