Granada CFvs
Valladolid
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 10/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Granada CF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Granada CF 2-1 Valladolid
Original prediction
Granada CF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 42.4% | 43.3% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 29.1% | 27.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 28.4% | 29.2% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Granada CF
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Granada CF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40