Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Granada CF

Granada CF

Home
L
10
Full time
Real Betis

Real Betis

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Real Betis33%
Granada CF33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Granada CF
33%
Draw
33%
Real Betis
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Granada CF
9
Real Betis
73
Defence
Granada CF
66
Real Betis
66
Momentum
Granada CF
0
Real Betis
100
Danger (xG)
Granada CF
0.00
Real Betis
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.12 xG for Granada CF and 1.57 xG for Real Betis — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.45), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.69 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Granada CF's Defensive Stability (66) and Real Betis's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Granada CF)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Real Betis)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Granada CF)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Real Betis)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Granada CFGranada CF
L
Real BetisReal Betis
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Granada CF33%
Draw33%
Real Betis33%

Real Betis leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Granada CF vs Real Betis: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Granada CF host Real Betis in Friendlies Clubs. Granada CF have recorded LLLDWW in recent matches while Real Betis arrive with a run of WLWWWL. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 2.4 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.12 for Granada CF and 1.57 for Real Betis. The gap of 0.45 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 2 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Granada CF

Granada CF

L
vs Burgos
16 May 2026
01
Real Betis

Real Betis

W
vs Elche
12 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Granada CF vs Real Betis?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Granada CF vs Real Betis?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Granada CF vs Real Betis?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Granada CF vs Real Betis?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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