GGOALVIO

Granada CF logoGranada CFvsCadiz logoCadiz

COMPLETED

Spain · Segunda División · 10/18/2026, 2:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Granada CF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Granada CF 2-0 Cadiz

Original prediction

Granada CF

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9148.8%47.0%-1.7 pts
Draw3.3527.8%25.9%-1.9 pts
Away3.9623.5%27.1%3.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Granada CF

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Granada CF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Granada CFWWLLD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CadizLWDLL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Granada CFCadiz
51.9Attack40.7
51.9Defence59.3
51.9Form25.9
53.6Power42.4
1.42xG1.04
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