Granada CFvs
Albacete
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 9/12/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Granada CF · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Granada CF 1-1 Albacete
Original prediction
Granada CF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 46.5% | 42.5% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.5% | 29.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 25.0% | 28.1% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Granada CF
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Granada CF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60