Granad. Tenerife Wvs
Sevilla W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Granad. Tenerife W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (8%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Granad. Tenerife W 1-3 Sevilla W
Original prediction
Granad. Tenerife W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.5% | 38.9% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.5% | 27.7% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.0% | 33.5% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Granad. Tenerife W
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Granad. Tenerife W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00