Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grama · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Grama are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Manresa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Manresa hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Grama holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grama
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
9.8%
Grama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/4.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20