GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 8/9/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Grafičar are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Semendrija 1924 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Semendrija 1924 hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Prva Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GrafičarLWLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Semendrija 1924WLWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GrafičarSemendrija 1924
45.9Attack36.0
51.4Defence72.1
43.2Form50.5
48.3Power54.9
0.81xG0.98
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