Grafičarvs
OFK Bor 1919
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grafičar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grafičar 3-0 OFK Bor 1919
Original prediction
Grafičar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.9% | 38.6% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.5% | 28.9% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.6% | 32.5% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Grafičar
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Grafičar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00