Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Javor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 0-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grafičar 1-1 Javor
Original prediction
Javor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.84 | 18.7% | 23.1% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.9% | 25.3% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 57.3% | 51.6% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–39%
Predicted outcome
Javor
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Javor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GrafičarLWLWL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
JavorWDWDD
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
GrafičarJavor
44.4Attack80.6
36.1Defence61.1
27.8Form63.9
37.3Power67.9
1.01xG2.81