Grafičarvs
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grafičar 0-2 FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Original prediction
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 34.1% | 35.7% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.2% | 25.9% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.7% | 38.4% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00