Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grafičar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Grafičar are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dubočica are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dubočica hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.8% in the Prva Liga, while Grafičar holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grafičar
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
17.8%
Grafičar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40