Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grad 0-3 Tolmin
Original prediction
Grad
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Grad
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Grad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GradDLWW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.50
BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
TolminLLWWL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
GradTolmin
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
2.38xG2.02