Goytacazvs
Duque de Caxias
COMPLETEDBrazil · Carioca - 2 · 9/30/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Duque de Caxias · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Goytacaz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Duque de Caxias are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Duque de Caxias hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 70.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Carioca - 2, while Duque de Caxias holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Duque de Caxias
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Duque de Caxias has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80