Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mortágua · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Gouveia are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Mortágua are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mortágua hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (38.1 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C, while Mortágua holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mortágua
Probability
35.2%
Model confidence
35.2%
Mortágua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00