Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Täfteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gottne 5-0 Täfteå
Original prediction
Täfteå
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.5% | 36.7% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.1% | 18.5% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.4% | 44.8% | 13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Täfteå
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Täfteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GottneLWWLL
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
TäfteåLLWWW
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
GottneTäfteå
66.7Attack72.0
30.7Defence45.3
45.3Form53.3
48.4Power55.4
2.37xG2.88