Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gottne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Gottne are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fransta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Gottne hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 33.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.8% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Gottne holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gottne
Probability
72.8%
Model confidence
72.8%
Gottne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20