Gosport Boroughvs
Taunton Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gosport Borough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gosport Borough 3-1 Taunton Town
Original prediction
Gosport Borough
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.5% | 36.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.4% | 27.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.2% | 35.9% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Gosport Borough
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Gosport Borough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 18 · GA 10 · avg 3.60/2.00