GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/16/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gosport Borough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gosport Borough are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Swindon Supermarine hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Gosport Borough holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gosport Borough

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Gosport Borough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gosport BoroughWDLWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Swindon SupermarineLWWDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gosport BoroughSwindon Supermarine
0.0Attack57.9
66.7Defence27.0
0.0Form38.9
26.7Power42.8
2.06xG1.61
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