GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/26/2023, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sholing · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gosport Borough are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sholing are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sholing

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gosport BoroughWLWDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SholingLDWWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gosport BoroughSholing
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
26.7Power83.3
1.20xG1.43
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