GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/17/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gosport Borough are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Salisbury are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 35.9-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gosport BoroughWLWDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SalisburyWLWWD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Gosport BoroughSalisbury
0.0Attack55.6
66.7Defence63.5
0.0Form62.7
26.7Power62.5
0.98xG1.62
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