GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/8/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gosport Borough are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Poole Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

35.2%

Model confidence

35.2%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gosport BoroughLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Poole TownLLWLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gosport BoroughPoole Town
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form50.0
26.7Power53.0
1.29xG1.35
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