Gosport Boroughvs
Merthyr Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/3/2024, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gosport Borough are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60