GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/3/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gosport Borough are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gosport BoroughDLDDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Merthyr TownWLLWD

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gosport BoroughMerthyr Town
0.0Attack67.5
66.7Defence53.2
0.0Form53.2
26.7Power57.2
1.27xG1.95
View match centre →