Gosport Boroughvs
Malvern Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gosport Borough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gosport Borough 4-2 Malvern Town
Original prediction
Gosport Borough
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.8% | 48.7% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.8% | 25.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.4% | 26.1% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Gosport Borough
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Gosport Borough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40