GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/11/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gosport Borough are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hendon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gosport BoroughLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HendonWWLWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Gosport BoroughHendon
0.0Attack55.6
66.7Defence48.4
0.0Form46.0
26.7Power51.9
1.42xG1.58
View match centre →