GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/11/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gosport Borough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gosport Borough are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Gosport Borough holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gosport Borough

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Gosport Borough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gosport BoroughDWWLW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dorchester TownLLWDW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gosport BoroughDorchester Town
0.0Attack52.4
66.7Defence38.9
0.0Form47.6
26.7Power48.3
1.69xG1.48
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