Gosport Boroughvs
Chichester City
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Trophy · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gosport Borough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gosport Borough 0-2 Chichester City
Original prediction
Gosport Borough
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 44.9% | 42.1% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.8% | 25.9% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.3% | 32.0% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Gosport Borough
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Gosport Borough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40