GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/27/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gosport Borough are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chesham United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gosport BoroughDLWDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chesham UnitedLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gosport BoroughChesham United
0.0Attack65.9
66.7Defence63.5
0.0Form71.4
26.7Power67.2
0.97xG1.94
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