Gornik Zabrzevs
Piast Gliwice
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/18/2026, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gornik Zabrze · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Piast Gliwice
Original prediction
Gornik Zabrze
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 58.7% | 66.7% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 23.1% | 18.6% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 5.08 | 18.2% | 14.7% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Gornik Zabrze
Probability
66.7%
Model confidence
66.7%
Gornik Zabrze has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40