Gornik Zabrzevs
GKS Katowice
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 8/30/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gornik Zabrze · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gornik Zabrze 2-3 GKS Katowice
Original prediction
Gornik Zabrze
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 49.8% | 47.2% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 25.3% | 25.9% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 24.9% | 27.0% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Gornik Zabrze
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Gornik Zabrze has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00