GGOALVIO

Poland · Ekstraklasa · 8/30/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gornik Zabrze · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Gornik Zabrze are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while GKS Katowice are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gornik Zabrze hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Ekstraklasa, while Gornik Zabrze holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gornik Zabrze

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

11.8%

Gornik Zabrze has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gornik ZabrzeDWLDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
GKS KatowiceWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gornik ZabrzeGKS Katowice
83.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
86.5Power56.2
1.86xG1.16
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