Gorillavs
Rayon Sports
COMPLETEDRwanda · National Soccer League · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gorilla 0-0 Rayon Sports, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gorilla 1-0 Rayon Sports
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.22 | 28.0% | 35.0% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 30.9% | 31.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.1% | 33.6% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Projected Score
Gorilla 0–0 Rayon Sports
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.5%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GorillaLWWLD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rayon SportsDDWDW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
GorillaRayon Sports
16.7Attack33.3
83.3Defence66.7
50.0Form33.3
53.0Power45.3
1.00xG0.80