Gorilas de Juanacatlanvs
Heroes de Zaci 2
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga Premier Serie B · 10/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gorilas de Juanacatlan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gorilas de Juanacatlan 6-2 Heroes de Zaci 2
Original prediction
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.5% | 48.3% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.4% | 26.4% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 5.06 | 18.0% | 25.4% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Gorilas de Juanacatlan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67