Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gori are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Samtredia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Samtredia hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40