GOR Mahiavs
Murang'a SEAL
COMPLETEDKenya · FKF Premier League · 10/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GOR Mahia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
GOR Mahia 4-2 Murang'a SEAL
Original prediction
GOR Mahia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.7% | 43.9% | -16.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.9% | 27.7% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 6.31 | 14.4% | 28.4% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
GOR Mahia
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
GOR Mahia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00