Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GOR Mahia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: GOR Mahia 0-0 Bandari, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
GOR Mahia 1-0 Bandari
Original prediction
GOR Mahia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 62.5% | 51.7% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.8% | 33.3% | 7.5 pts |
| Away | 7.73 | 11.6% | 15.0% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Projected Score
GOR Mahia 0–0 Bandari
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
GOR Mahia
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
GOR Mahia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GOR MahiaDWDWW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BandariWLDDL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GOR MahiaBandari
47.1Attack30.4
80.4Defence74.5
71.6Form51.0
68.0Power54.5
0.81xG0.36