Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gonio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gonio are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Irao are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gonio hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 61.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Liga 3, while Gonio holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gonio
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Gonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/1.33
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20