Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gonio · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Gonio are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Betlemi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gonio hold a 41.0-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 24.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.0% in the Liga 3, while Gonio holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gonio
Probability
87.0%
Model confidence
87.0%
Gonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20