GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 8/23/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gonçalense are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Pérolas Negras are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Pérolas Negras hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Copa Rio, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GonçalenseW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Pérolas NegrasL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
GonçalensePérolas Negras
38.9Attack83.3
77.8Defence66.7
61.1Form58.3
61.7Power64.4
0.99xG0.89
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