Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gomel II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Gomel II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while BATE II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gomel II hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (42.4 v 30.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the 1. Division, while Gomel II holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gomel II
Probability
63.8%
Model confidence
9.8%
Gomel II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60