GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship · 10/5/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cavalier · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Golden Lion are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cavalier are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cavalier hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (29.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship, while Cavalier holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cavalier

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Cavalier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Golden LionLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
CavalierWWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Golden LionCavalier
41.7Attack0.0
8.3Defence100.0
25.0Form33.3
29.2Power45.3
1.21xG1.47
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