Golden Arrowsvs
Stellenbosch
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 8/26/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Golden Arrows 1-0 Stellenbosch
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 36.0% | 36.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.80 | 32.6% | 30.7% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 31.4% | 33.3% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.7%
Model confidence
36.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 0.40/0.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00