Golden Arrowsvs
Mamelodi Sundowns
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · 8 Cup · 8/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Golden Arrows · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Golden Arrows 2-3 Mamelodi Sundowns
Original prediction
Golden Arrows
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.58 | 19.9% | 37.7% | 17.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.3% | 27.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 52.8% | 34.9% | -17.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Golden Arrows
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Golden Arrows has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 0.60/0.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20