Golden Arrowsvs
Mamelodi Sundowns
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mamelodi Sundowns · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Golden Arrows 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Golden Arrows 1-2 Mamelodi Sundowns
Original prediction
Mamelodi Sundowns
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.33 | 10.9% | 23.6% | 12.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.7% | 28.5% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 1.37 | 66.4% | 47.9% | -18.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.6 pts
Projected Score
Golden Arrows 0–0 Mamelodi Sundowns
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Mamelodi Sundowns
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Mamelodi Sundowns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00