Golden Arrowsvs
Kaizer Chiefs
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kaizer Chiefs · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Golden Arrows 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Golden Arrows 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs
Original prediction
Kaizer Chiefs
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.78 | 24.0% | 27.2% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.4% | 30.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.6% | 41.9% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.98 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Projected Score
Golden Arrows 0–0 Kaizer Chiefs
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Kaizer Chiefs
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Kaizer Chiefs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20