Queensland NPLQueensland NPL
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Gold Coast United

Gold Coast United

Home
L
01
Full time
Lions

Lions

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
59% confidence
Lions(59%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Gold Coast United
17%
Draw
24%
Lions
59%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Gold Coast United
9
Lions
94
Defence
Gold Coast United
27
Lions
66
Momentum
Gold Coast United
0
Lions
100
Danger (xG)
Gold Coast United
0.00
Lions
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Gold Coast United)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Lions)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Gold Coast United)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Lions)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United
L
LionsLions
W

Probability breakdown

59% confidence
Gold Coast United17%
Draw24%
Lions59%

Lions leads with 59% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Gold Coast United head into this in Queensland NPL fixture in mixed form (L), while Lions arrive in mixed form (W). Gold Coast United have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Lions over 1 games.

Tactically, Lions hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Gold Coast United defence (27/100), while Gold Coast United's attack faces a solid Lions backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Gold Coast United have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Lions have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Gold Coast United and Lions in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Lions to win with 59% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Gold Coast United 1717%, Draw 2390%, Lions 5893%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Gold Coast United

Gold Coast United

L
vs Brisbane City
16 May 2026
02
Lions

Lions

W
@ Brisbane Roar II
15 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Gold Coast United vs Lions?

GoalVio's model predicts Lions to win with 59% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Gold Coast United vs Lions?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Gold Coast United vs Lions?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gold Coast United vs Lions?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more