GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/11/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eastern Suburbs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gold Coast United are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 1.75 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Eastern Suburbs are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Eastern Suburbs hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Queensland NPL, while Eastern Suburbs holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eastern Suburbs

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Eastern Suburbs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gold Coast UnitedDWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.75/0.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Eastern SuburbsLW

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Gold Coast UnitedEastern Suburbs
39.4Attack51.5
40.9Defence47.0
30.3Form43.9
38.4Power47.9
1.33xG1.76
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