GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/4/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gold Coast United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gold Coast United are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Brisbane Roar II are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gold Coast United hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Queensland NPL, while Gold Coast United holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gold Coast United

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Gold Coast United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gold Coast UnitedWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 2.33/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Brisbane Roar IIL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Gold Coast UnitedBrisbane Roar II
39.4Attack48.5
40.9Defence21.2
30.3Form24.2
38.4Power33.1
2.07xG1.58
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