Gold Coast Knightsvs
Rochedale Rovers
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 4/10/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gold Coast Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Gold Coast Knights are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rochedale Rovers are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Gold Coast Knights hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.1% in the Queensland NPL, while Gold Coast Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gold Coast Knights
Probability
76.1%
Model confidence
76.1%
Gold Coast Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60