GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/11/2023, 7:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gold Coast Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gold Coast Knights are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Moreton Bay United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.9 against 60.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Queensland NPL, while Gold Coast Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gold Coast Knights

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Gold Coast Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gold Coast KnightsWL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Moreton Bay UnitedWWWWL

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gold Coast KnightsMoreton Bay United
69.7Attack65.3
51.5Defence59.7
57.6Form56.9
58.9Power60.8
1.84xG1.78
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