Queensland NPLQueensland NPL
Tuesday, 23 June 2026Last updated 10:07
Gold Coast Knights

Gold Coast Knights

Home
WW
41
Full time
Eastern Suburbs

Eastern Suburbs

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Gold Coast Knights(44%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Gold Coast Knights
Win probability
Gold Coast Knights
44%
Draw
25%
Eastern Suburbs
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Gold Coast Knights
94
Eastern Suburbs
34
Defence
Gold Coast Knights
66
Eastern Suburbs
6
Momentum
Gold Coast Knights
100
Eastern Suburbs
0
Danger (xG)
Gold Coast Knights
2.70
Eastern Suburbs
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Gold Coast Knights)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Eastern Suburbs)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Gold Coast Knights)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Eastern Suburbs)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights
WWL
Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs
LLW

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Gold Coast Knights44%
Draw25%
Eastern Suburbs31%

Gold Coast Knights leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Gold Coast Knights head into this in Queensland NPL fixture in decent form (WW), while Eastern Suburbs arrive in mixed form (L). Gold Coast Knights have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Eastern Suburbs over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Gold Coast Knights's elite attack (94/100) faces a vulnerable Eastern Suburbs defence (6/100), while Eastern Suburbs's attack is up against a solid Gold Coast Knights backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Gold Coast Knights's favour.

Gold Coast Knights have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Eastern Suburbs have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

Gold Coast Knights have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Gold Coast Knights to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Gold Coast Knights 4392%, Draw 2546%, Eastern Suburbs 3062%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Gold Coast Knights 1Draws 00 Eastern Suburbs
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
23 Jun 2026
Gold Coast Knights
W41
Eastern Suburbs

Recent form

Gold Coast Knights

Gold Coast Knights

W
vs Eastern Suburbs
23 Jun 2026
41
W
vs Magic United
19 Jun 2026
21
L
@ Peninsula Power
15 May 2026
02
Eastern Suburbs

Eastern Suburbs

L
vs Peninsula Power
4 Jul 2026
13
L
@ Gold Coast Knights
23 Jun 2026
14
W
@ WDSC Wolves
15 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Gold Coast Knights vs Eastern Suburbs?

GoalVio's model predicts Gold Coast Knights to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Gold Coast Knights vs Eastern Suburbs?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Gold Coast Knights vs Eastern Suburbs?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gold Coast Knights vs Eastern Suburbs?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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